Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.6% | 47.4% | -0.6 | ✓ (20.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks -21 (69-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Merritt | 37 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Robert Merritt | 36 | 10-18 | 7-10 | 5-6 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 29 | - |
| J. Smith | 35 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| T. Peterson | 29 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| R. Gulina | 26 | 7-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| C. West | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| R. Woolsey | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| A. LoPiano | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Rawlings | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 38 | 6-12 | 6-9 | 6-7 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| B.J. Spencer | 34 | 3-11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| C. Bradley | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Wilson | 25 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| D. Brown | 23 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| H. Crow | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Miller | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Bray | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Smith | 9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Lewis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Ketterer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter