Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.8% | 27.2% | -5.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -2 (67-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Fells | 34 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| A. Fitzgerald | 33 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| R. Schraeder | 30 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| N. Campbell | 28 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| S. Armstrong | 27 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| P. Sanders | 22 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| A. Metelski | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Price | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Kelley | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Templeton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Stephenson | 35 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| D. Stockalper | 34 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 5-8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 22 | - |
| D. Whiten | 29 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. McGinn | 28 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| T. Clark | 27 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | - |
| C. Thomas | 26 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| T. Shelton | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter