Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.8% | 88.2% | +11.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots +13 (73-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Harper | 31 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| J. Pellot-Rosa | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| E. Davis | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B.A. Walker | 26 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. George | 24 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Shuler | 23 | 6-9 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| M. Anderson | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| E. Maynor | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Faulk | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Butler | 37 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| T. Skinn | 36 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6 | - |
| W. Thomas | 35 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| F. Campbell | 34 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 15 | - |
| J. Lewis | 29 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| G. Norwood | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| S. Hernandez | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| C. Fleming | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter