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2006-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 66.2% 33.8% -
Bradley-Terry 32.1% 67.9% -
Margin 23.7% 76.3% +6.4 (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 62.7% 37.3% -
Efficiency 95.6% 4.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.9% 13.1% -
Log Adjusted 87.0% 13.0% -

Actual: Drake Bulldogs +2 (75-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Sommerville 37 3-10 2-5 6-6 6 0 0 0 5 14 5 -
T. Bennett 36 8-11 3-4 4-5 1 0 4 1 3 23 15 -
D. Ruffin 25 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 5 1 0 2 5 7 -
P. O'Bryant 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 4 4 4 9 -
Z. Andrews 20 1-7 0-0 0-3 7 0 1 2 1 2 4 -
D. Adams 19 1-5 1-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 3 4 -
L. Wright 19 4-7 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 0 0 11 10 -
W. Franklin 14 2-4 0-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 2 6 5 -
J. Crouch 9 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 5 2 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Brooks 32 6-8 1-2 2-2 4 3 3 1 1 15 17 -
A. Stewart 32 4-10 0-0 6-7 8 4 2 0 2 14 16 -
J. Cox 27 4-10 1-4 6-6 5 0 1 1 0 15 12 -
A. Calvin 21 1-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -5 -
C. Bryant 17 2-6 2-5 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 8 4 -
B. Heemskerk 17 1-3 0-2 3-3 4 0 1 0 3 5 4 -
N. Grant 16 0-4 0-0 4-4 2 0 2 0 1 4 3 -
N. Works 15 2-5 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
S. Tracy 9 0-1 0-0 4-5 1 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
A. Emmenecker 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 -
L. Houston 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Baryenbruch 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter