Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.7% | 1.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 90.6% | 9.4% | -12.5 | ✗ (28.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +16 (75-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Reichner * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| F. Malaman * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| R. Broadus * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Plaisted * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| L. Cummard * | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Young | 26 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| A. Ainge | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Rose | 9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Balderson | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Dawes | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. McCraw * | 40 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| A. Hood * | 37 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| J. Burtschi * | 32 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| D. Nwaelele * | 31 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| J. Frye * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| T. Anderson | 20 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Holum | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Henke | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| B. Walker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter