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2006-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 21.4% 78.6% -
Bradley-Terry 44.5% 55.5% -
Margin 39.7% 60.3% +2.3 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Efficiency 66.1% 33.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.7% 46.3% -
Log Adjusted 53.6% 46.4% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +14 (66-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Horner * 37 4-12 3-7 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 11 3 -
G. Brunner * 28 2-8 0-0 4-6 10 3 0 0 1 8 12 -
A. Haluska * 27 3-11 1-7 4-4 2 1 1 0 3 11 1 -
M. Henderson * 26 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
E. Hansen * 11 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 3 1 4 6 -
D. Thomas 27 4-13 0-0 2-3 8 2 0 1 0 10 8 -
A. Thompson 17 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Freeman 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 4 -
S. Gorney 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 1 2 -
C. Reed 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Wieck 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
B. Wessels 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Taylor * 37 5-14 1-4 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 11 4 -
A. Tucker * 35 12-22 2-3 1-5 5 1 2 0 1 27 12 -
B. Butch * 28 3-9 1-3 0-0 8 0 1 0 0 7 7 -
R. Nixon * 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 0 3 -
J. Chappell * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 0 6 -
M. Flowers 22 3-6 1-3 0-0 8 2 1 0 0 7 12 -
M. Landry 19 3-5 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 7 4 -
G. Stiemsma 17 0-0 0-0 0-1 4 4 3 5 1 0 15 -
J. Krabbenhoft 5 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
M. Cain 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Gullikson 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Barry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Bronson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter