Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern State Demons | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✗ (23.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks -12 (67-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mitchell | 30 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 14 | - |
| J. Wallace | 28 | 5-8 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| C. Lee | 28 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| B. Allen | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| K. Jones | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Rogers | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Spencer | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| K. Forges | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D.J. Ross | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Ross | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Bargeman | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Dyer | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Howell | 33 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - |
| S. Thomas | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Dawkins | 26 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Griffin | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| L. Posey | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Henderson | 17 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Epps | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. Vereen | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| B. Long | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Henry | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Sauls | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter