Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Creighton Bluejays | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.1% | 90.9% | +12.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Creighton Bluejays +19 (71-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Plank | 37 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 7 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 34 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 5 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 33 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| K. Ford | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Vandello | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Ford | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Fortes | 12 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Holtz | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Dyer | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Vianney | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mathies | 36 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | - |
| J. Dotzler | 35 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| N. Porter | 31 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| A. Tolliver | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| D. Watts | 24 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| J. Motz | 15 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Bishop | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Day | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Nengsu | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter