Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Fordham Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | +8.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fordham Rams +10 (66-56). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Plummer | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Monty Scott | 34 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Brian Roberts | 31 | 3-14 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| L. White | 28 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Warren Williams | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Desmond Adedeji | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Chris Alvarez | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jimmy Binnie | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| James Cripe | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Charles Little | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marques Bennett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Fordham Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine Anderson | 34 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Michael Binns | 32 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Stout | 29 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Anderson | 27 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Sebastian Greene | 22 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Corey McCrae | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Bryant Dunston | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Nicholas Vita | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Demetrius Phillips | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chris Bethel | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter