Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.7% | 92.3% | +20.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.9% | 98.1% | +21.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +33 (83-50). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Cuyler * | 30 | 0-8 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | - |
| M. Morrison * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| T. Blue * | 25 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Young * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Vogelsberg * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2 | - |
| K. Kanaskie | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Howard | 17 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 5 | - |
| T. Hudson | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| B. Lake | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. O'Neil | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Douglas-Roberts * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Joey Dorsey * | 23 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 25 | - |
| R. Carney * | 23 | 8-17 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Darius Washington Jr. * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Shawne Williams * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Antonio Anderson | 31 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Robert Dozier | 22 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| A. Allen | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Cooper | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| W. Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter