Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.4% | 40.6% | -2.1 | ✗ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +13 (66-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Dillon | 40 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. Lutz | 36 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| S. Heber | 33 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| C. Hartley | 28 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| G. Ware | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. White | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Green | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Carroll | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Riddell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Minnoy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Doyle | 39 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 17 | - |
| V. Vukusic | 36 | 9-13 | 2-4 | 8-9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 21 | - |
| C. Moore | 31 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| S. Williams | 31 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| A. Carson | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Cote | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Jenkins | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| E. Ross | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Houlihan | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Melchior | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter