Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +8 (83-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lewis | 34 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| S. Creason | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 3 | - |
| M. Morris | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| M. Harrison | 25 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| S. Morris | 23 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. Smith | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| S. Gilling | 17 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| F. Robinson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Harris | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Patterson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. LeSure | 35 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 9 | - |
| M. Abukar | 33 | 10-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 10 | - |
| R. Williams | 33 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 9 | - |
| K. Spain | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| M. Slaughter | 26 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 18 | - |
| J. Sharper | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Camara | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| B. Hudson | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter