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2006-01-03

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 32.4% 67.6% -
Bradley-Terry 13.7% 86.3% -
Margin 5.4% 94.6% +15.8 (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 18.4% 81.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.0% 92.0% -
Log Adjusted 7.9% 92.1% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +2 (59-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. O'Donnell * 35 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 7 1 0 1 6 11 -
T. Lindbeck * 31 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
A. Williams * 30 4-12 0-0 1-2 8 4 0 0 6 9 3 -
J. Peppers * 29 6-10 3-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 15 6 -
J. Rose * 26 5-9 0-2 2-4 10 3 2 0 3 12 15 -
A. Gill 17 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 1 1 4 8 -
L. Payne 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
D. Noel 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
J. Taylor 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
K. Zondervan 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Rondo * 31 6-11 0-1 1-2 4 6 4 0 2 13 14 -
J. Crawford * 25 3-11 0-4 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 8 3 -
S. Thomas * 21 0-2 0-0 1-4 3 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
P. Sparks * 14 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
L. Obrzut * 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
R. Bradley 30 5-10 3-4 3-3 0 0 3 0 1 16 8 -
B. Perry 26 4-8 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 9 3 -
R. Moss 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 3 6 -
R. Sims 15 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
J. Carter 13 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 3 2 2 5 -
M. Adetula 4 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

* = starter