Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.6% | 77.4% | +6.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +13 (60-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Dilligard | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| N. Plank | 28 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| D. Ford | 27 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| B. Holtz | 23 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Vandello | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Dyer | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Ford | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Fortes | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Wallace | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E. Vianney | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Kruse | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Jacobson | 36 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| E. Crawford | 33 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| B. McKowen | 33 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| G. Stout | 32 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| J. Little | 29 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| E. Coleman | 18 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| J. Josten | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Santos | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| M. Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| T. Griffin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter