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2006-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 44.1% 55.9% -
Bradley-Terry 31.1% 68.9% -
Margin 22.6% 77.4% +6.8 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 18.1% 81.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.2% 96.8% -
Log Adjusted 3.2% 96.8% -

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +13 (60-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Dilligard 31 6-11 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 1 2 12 8 -
N. Plank 28 1-9 0-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 4 2 -4 -
D. Ford 27 3-9 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 7 4 -
B. Holtz 23 2-4 2-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 6 7 -
M. Vandello 20 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 4 0 -
N. Onyeuku 18 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 1 3 3 2 -
L. Dyer 13 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
K. Ford 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
R. Carlwell 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
R. Fortes 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
T. Wallace 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
E. Vianney 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
M. Kruse 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Jacobson 36 2-9 0-2 4-6 6 3 1 1 0 8 10 -
E. Crawford 33 3-7 1-4 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 9 3 -
B. McKowen 33 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 5 3 0 0 5 8 -
G. Stout 32 7-10 0-1 3-5 7 1 4 0 0 17 19 -
J. Little 29 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 3 2 -
E. Coleman 18 7-11 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 0 2 16 11 -
J. Josten 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
T. Brown 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Santos 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 1 3 -
M. Williams 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
T. Griffin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter