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2006-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 32.6% 67.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% - โœ—
Margin 43.9% 56.1% +1.3 โœ— (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 68.3% 31.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 69.1% 30.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.9% 53.1% - โœ—

Actual: Memphis Tigers -11 (58-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Gibson * 40 6-12 4-7 2-4 4 2 2 0 1 18 13 -
B. Buckman * 39 1-11 0-6 4-6 7 2 1 5 4 6 6 -
P.J. Tucker * 38 8-17 0-0 8-10 13 1 3 1 7 24 18 -
K. Paulino * 31 2-5 0-1 1-1 1 6 0 0 4 5 3 -
L. Aldridge * 24 6-7 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 2 0 12 17 -
A.J. Abrams 16 0-1 0-1 4-4 1 3 1 0 2 4 6 -
C. Atchley 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -3 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Williams * 30 2-14 2-9 4-4 7 1 1 0 4 10 1 -
D. Washington Jr. * 27 4-11 1-3 0-0 8 3 2 0 5 9 6 -
A. Anderson * 25 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 2 0 -
C. Douglas-Roberts * 24 1-4 0-1 2-4 2 0 2 1 3 4 2 -
J. Dorsey * 24 1-5 0-0 2-2 8 1 2 2 2 4 10 -
R. Carney 31 8-22 3-14 3-4 6 0 0 0 0 22 6 -
R. Dozier 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 1 3 1 5 4 8 -
A. Allen 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 1 -
W. Williams 5 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
K. Cooper 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter