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2006-01-01

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 11.1% 88.9% -
Bradley-Terry 15.5% 84.5% -
Margin 7.4% 92.6% +13.9 (21.1 off)
Pythagorean 13.1% 86.9% -
Efficiency 3.4% 96.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +35 (82-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Olson 32 3-4 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 7 5 -
D. Birden 30 3-7 0-0 3-5 9 1 1 1 5 9 9 -
M. Kline 29 1-7 0-5 0-0 1 10 0 0 4 2 2 -
S. Taibi 29 6-11 1-6 0-0 6 0 0 0 4 13 4 -
C. Lowe 24 3-8 0-0 3-6 9 0 1 1 2 9 10 -
K. Archibeque 18 1-3 0-0 1-2 0 2 0 0 3 3 -1 -
D. Jefferies 16 0-3 0-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
C. Gebhardt 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
D. McDaniel 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Lewis 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Moore 31 3-7 3-6 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 9 6 -
A. Carson 28 5-8 1-2 1-1 3 4 2 1 3 12 11 -
B. Cote 27 5-7 2-2 2-2 4 1 2 1 0 14 15 -
S. Williams 25 5-6 0-1 1-2 2 2 3 0 0 11 12 -
T. Doyle 25 4-7 0-2 0-0 3 5 1 0 1 8 9 -
V. Vukusic 23 6-9 1-2 9-11 1 4 1 2 0 22 21 -
E. Ross 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 3 0 0 3 4 -
M. Jenkins 12 1-2 1-2 0-2 2 4 0 0 0 3 7 -
J. Melchior 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
P. Houlihan 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
E. Seacat 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter