Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.6% | 38.4% | -2.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -5 (70-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Roche * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 27 | - |
| S. May * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 38 | - |
| R. McCants * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| E. Arriaran * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| J. Manuel * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Williams | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Noel | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| M. Scott | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Terry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Williams * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 28 | - |
| D. Brown * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 26 | - |
| R. Powell * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | - |
| L. Head * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 28 | - |
| J. Augustine * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Ingram | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| W. Carter | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. McBride | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter