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Michigan State Spartans 68
@
Tennessee Lady Volunteers 64
2005-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Tennessee Lady Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 66.2% 33.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% - ✗
Margin 38.8% 61.2% +2.5 ✗ (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 68.4% 31.6% - ✓
Efficiency 96.6% 3.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 90.8% 9.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 90.9% 9.1% - ✓

Actual: Tennessee Lady Volunteers -4 (64-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Lucas-Perry 0 4-9 3-4 3-4 6 0 0 0 0 14 11 -
Richard Hardman 0 5-14 4-9 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 16 2 -
L. Shimek 0 6-11 0-0 2-3 12 0 0 0 0 14 15 -
K. Roehrig 0 6-11 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 12 3 -
K. Haynie 0 3-8 0-2 0-0 9 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
P. Davis * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 15 1 3 1 3 14 31 -
S. Brown * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 15 14 -
M. Ager * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 24 28 -
A. Anderson * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 0 4 -
D. Neitzel * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 2 7 -
K. Torbert 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 6 2 1 0 9 23 -
C. Hill 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 3 7 -
M. Trannon 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 4 9 -
D. Naymick 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 5 -
Tim Bograkos 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Harvey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Rowley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Hamo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Tennessee Lady Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS

* = starter