Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | +4.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +16 (87-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Davis * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 31 | - |
| S. Brown * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 14 | - |
| M. Ager * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 28 | - |
| A. Anderson * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| D. Neitzel * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| K. Torbert | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 23 | - |
| C. Hill | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| M. Trannon | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| D. Naymick | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Tim Bograkos | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Hamo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Harvey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Rowley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Roche * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 27 | - |
| S. May * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 31 | - |
| R. McCants * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 26 | - |
| E. Arriaran * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 29 | - |
| J. Manuel * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Williams | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| D. Noel | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| M. Scott | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Terry | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Holley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C.J. Hooker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Everett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter