Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +10 (59-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bales | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Bass | 0 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| W. Whitley | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| W. Smith | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Currie | 0 | 4-18 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | -5 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Willis | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| W. Jones | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| S. Hoston | 0 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Augustus | 0 | 10-20 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 11 | - |
| T. Johnson | 0 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
* = starter