Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona Wildcats | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.8% | 82.2% | +8.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +1 (90-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Frye * | 44 | 11-14 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 27 | - |
| S. Stoudamire * | 39 | 2-13 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| H. Adams * | 37 | 9-13 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| M. Shakur * | 37 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 9 | - |
| I. Radenovic * | 29 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| J. McClellan | 24 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Rodgers | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Walters | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Williams * | 44 | 8-15 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 15 | - |
| D. Brown * | 42 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 11 | - |
| L. Head * | 39 | 7-18 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| J. Augustine * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| R. Powell * | 30 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| J. Ingram | 28 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| R. McBride | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| W. Carter | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter