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2005-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats Oklahoma State Cowboys Spread Result
Elo 79.0% 21.0% -
Bradley-Terry 3.9% 96.1% -
Margin 29.8% 70.2% +4.7 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% -
Efficiency 30.7% 69.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.3% 73.7% -
Log Adjusted 26.0% 74.0% -

Actual: Oklahoma State Cowboys -1 (78-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Frye * 40 7-12 0-1 1-2 10 4 0 3 3 15 17 -
H. Adams * 35 8-12 3-4 0-0 10 1 0 2 2 19 18 -
I. Radenovic * 28 5-5 0-0 3-5 3 1 1 0 2 13 11 -
S. Stoudamire * 28 7-11 4-7 1-2 2 7 2 0 0 19 19 -
M. Shakur * 27 0-1 0-0 4-6 1 1 0 0 4 4 1 -
C. Rodgers 25 2-4 0-2 1-2 0 2 0 0 0 5 3 -
J. McClellan 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 4 2 -
K. Walters 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Oklahoma State Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lucas III * 37 5-15 2-7 1-1 2 3 1 0 0 13 4 -
D. Bobik * 37 3-7 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 8 1 -
J. Graham * 35 9-19 3-5 5-6 8 1 0 0 1 26 15 -
J. Curry * 35 4-9 3-6 0-0 2 7 2 0 3 11 10 -
I. McFarlin * 31 6-12 0-0 3-3 5 4 4 0 0 15 16 -
Terrence Crawford 14 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -
S. Graham 11 2-3 0-0 1-1 0 2 2 0 0 5 6 -

* = starter