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2005-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Oklahoma State Cowboys Spread Result
Elo 8.0% 92.0% -
Bradley-Terry 18.3% 81.7% -
Margin 7.4% 92.6% +13.9 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.8% 68.2% -
Log Adjusted 31.1% 68.9% -

Actual: Oklahoma State Cowboys +8 (85-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darren Brooks * 38 5-16 1-7 6-7 7 4 1 0 2 17 11 -
S. Hairston * 28 2-9 1-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 5 1 -
J. Tatum * 26 5-11 3-5 9-9 2 3 2 0 1 22 17 -
M. Shaw * 25 3-4 0-0 4-5 5 0 0 0 1 10 10 -
L. Owen 22 3-6 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 0 0 8 8 -
Josh Warren 19 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 3 1 0 2 2 4 -
T. Young 15 1-3 0-1 1-1 0 0 1 0 1 3 0 -
R. Falker 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 1 1 -
M. Dale 12 3-5 1-2 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 9 6 -
J. Foster 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oklahoma State Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lucas III * 39 5-14 2-6 5-5 4 1 0 0 2 17 6 -
I. McFarlin * 36 10-13 0-0 11-12 6 2 3 0 1 31 28 -
D. Bobik * 35 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Curry * 34 3-5 3-4 9-10 5 3 0 0 3 18 18 -
J. Graham * 22 3-6 0-0 2-2 3 6 0 0 4 8 7 -
Terrence Crawford 22 2-4 0-0 1-2 7 3 0 0 2 5 9 -
S. Graham 12 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 3 3 -

* = starter