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2005-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 27.9% 72.1% -
Bradley-Terry 88.6% 11.4% -
Margin 20.9% 79.1% +7.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% -
Efficiency 61.0% 39.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% -
Log Adjusted 64.5% 35.5% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +13 (66-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Harris * 35 6-10 0-2 0-2 4 3 2 1 1 12 11 -
J. Carroll * 32 6-14 5-10 1-2 6 2 0 0 2 18 10 -
S. Nelson * 29 1-7 0-0 4-4 2 2 1 1 0 6 5 -
D. Pak * 23 1-4 1-3 0-0 5 5 1 0 4 3 6 -
C. McGowen * 22 2-10 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 1 3 5 -1 -
A. Holmes 24 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -
J. Williams 20 2-5 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
J. Neil 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 2 6 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Stoudamire * 35 5-13 3-9 4-4 2 0 0 0 4 17 2 -
C. Frye * 35 5-9 0-0 7-9 10 0 0 5 1 17 22 -
H. Adams * 31 5-10 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 10 4 -
M. Shakur * 30 2-3 0-1 1-1 4 7 2 0 2 5 13 -
I. Radenovic * 25 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 0 1 -
J. McClellan 25 3-6 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
C. Rodgers 13 3-4 2-2 2-4 1 0 0 0 0 10 7 -
K. Walters 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Verdejo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter