Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +12 (71-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sessions | 37 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Pinkney | 36 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 20 | - |
| N. Fazekas | 34 | 5-20 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -2 | - |
| K. Shiloh | 29 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Charlo | 28 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| J. Washington | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Bell | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| S. Taylor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Augustine | 35 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 26 | - |
| D. Williams | 34 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| L. Head | 34 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| D. Brown | 34 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| R. Powell | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Ingram | 21 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| W. Carter | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. McBride | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Smith | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter