Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.3% | 68.7% | +4.3 | ✗ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -6 (88-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Davis * | 41 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| M. Ager * | 39 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - |
| A. Anderson * | 38 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| S. Brown * | 36 | 8-10 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 18 | - |
| D. Neitzel * | 14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Hill | 27 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| K. Torbert | 25 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Trannon | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tim Bograkos | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Naymick | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Hamo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Harvey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Rowley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hayes * | 35 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| M. Kennedy * | 35 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| R. Morris * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| P. Sparks * | 30 | 5-12 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| R. Rondo * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| R. Moss | 21 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| R. Bradley | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Crawford | 17 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Perry | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Thomas | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Obrzut | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Stockton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Adetula | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. LeMaster | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter