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2005-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 15.7% 84.3% -
Bradley-Terry 20.7% 79.3% -
Margin 11.4% 88.6% +11.3 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 30.9% 69.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.2% 59.8% -
Log Adjusted 40.1% 59.9% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +9 (69-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Muhammad * 34 5-17 2-8 2-2 3 4 0 0 2 14 2 -
J. White * 34 1-4 0-1 2-2 4 1 1 1 1 4 6 -
E. Hicks * 34 4-12 1-4 3-6 10 1 0 1 0 12 12 -
N. Williams * 33 6-12 4-9 0-1 3 1 2 0 1 16 9 -
J. Maxiell * 33 3-6 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 2 3 9 6 -
A. Kirkland 22 0-8 0-3 3-4 5 3 0 0 2 3 1 -
R. Bright 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 3 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Rondo * 38 5-7 2-2 4-6 1 7 2 0 5 16 14 -
P. Sparks * 32 4-8 3-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 11 6 -
M. Kennedy * 31 6-12 2-3 5-7 7 2 1 0 1 19 16 -
C. Hayes * 28 5-10 0-0 0-0 8 5 2 1 2 10 14 -
R. Morris * 25 4-9 0-0 3-5 12 0 1 1 1 11 15 -
S. Thomas 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 -
R. Moss 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
M. Adetula 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 2 3 -
J. Crawford 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
B. Perry 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Bradley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Carrier 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Obrzut 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter