Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.5% | 79.5% | +7.5 | ✗ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -10 (68-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #11119 * | 33 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| A. Anderson * | 32 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 16 | - |
| M. Ager * | 28 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| S. Brown * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| D. Neitzel * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| K. Torbert | 18 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. Hill | 18 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Trannon | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tim Bograkos | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Rowley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Naymick | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Harvey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Hamo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Redick * | 39 | 4-14 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| D. Ewing * | 38 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Player #11146 * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 19 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 26 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Player #11143 * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 22 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| D. Nelson | 18 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| R. Love | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| D. McClure | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter