Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.0% | 90.0% | +12.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +8 (63-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Roberts * | 36 | 5-18 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Shane Power * | 35 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| W. Frazier * | 35 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| O. Harper * | 35 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| G. Ervin * | 32 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Edmondson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Campbell | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Slater | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| W. Morgan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Redick * | 40 | 5-17 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 1 | - |
| D. Ewing * | 39 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 16 | - |
| S. Williams * | 36 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| S. Randolph * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Nelson | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| R. Love | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| P. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter