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Louisville Cardinals 57
@
Illinois Fighting Illini 72
2005-04-02

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 12.0% 88.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 58.8% 41.2% - ✗
Margin 61.1% 38.9% -2.5 ✗ (17.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% - ✓
Efficiency 44.5% 55.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 38.6% 61.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 38.8% 61.2% - ✓

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +15 (72-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ellis Myles * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 3 1 17 30 -
T. Dean * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 12 15 -
F. Garcia * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 1 1 4 8 -
L. O'Bannon * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 2 12 18 -
J. Palacios * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 5 -
O. George 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 4 10 -
T. Laudermill 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 8 10 -
L. Wade 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Williams * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 9 0 0 4 5 15 -
L. Head * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 2 0 0 20 33 -
D. Brown * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 8 15 -
J. Augustine * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 0 0 6 17 -
R. Powell * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 20 26 -
J. Ingram 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 9 15 -
R. McBride 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Nick Smith 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Player #15166 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter