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2005-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 20.2% 79.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.3% 76.7% - โœ“
Margin 5.9% 94.1% +15.2 โœ“ (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 10.8% 89.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.6% 89.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.5% 78.5% - โœ“

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +6 (88-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Wilkinson * 39 5-11 1-2 0-0 7 5 2 0 3 11 11 -
A. Tucker * 33 9-17 0-4 7-9 2 2 1 0 0 25 13 -
C. Hanson * 32 5-8 5-8 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 15 10 -
Sharif Chambliss * 26 3-7 3-6 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 9 7 -
J. Parker * 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 0 4 -
K. Taylor 28 6-12 2-3 4-4 3 1 0 0 2 18 8 -
R. Nixon 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
M. Flowers 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Butch 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Helmigk 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Stiemsma 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. May * 34 13-19 0-0 3-4 12 2 0 2 1 29 25 -
A. Roche * 33 5-11 1-5 6-6 5 7 0 1 3 17 16 -
R. McCants * 31 8-17 3-6 2-4 4 4 0 1 0 21 13 -
J. Manuel * 27 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 3 0 1 4 7 -
E. Arriaran * 21 3-6 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 6 4 -
M. Williams 21 1-6 0-1 4-4 3 1 2 0 1 6 5 -
D. Noel 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
M. Scott 15 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 1 -
Q. Thomas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter