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2005-03-20

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 6.8% 93.2% -
Bradley-Terry 32.5% 67.5% -
Margin 14.3% 85.7% +9.9 (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 26.6% 73.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% -
Log Adjusted 38.0% 62.0% -

Actual: UConn Huskies -3 (62-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hodge * 39 5-10 0-1 7-7 3 6 1 1 2 17 16 -
E. Atsur * 38 2-5 2-3 0-0 5 2 2 1 1 6 10 -
C. Bennerman * 37 6-11 3-5 0-0 4 1 3 0 3 15 9 -
A. Brackman * 34 1-6 1-2 7-8 3 3 1 1 1 10 11 -
I. Evtimov * 33 4-12 2-5 1-2 5 1 3 0 2 11 6 -
J. Collins 7 2-4 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 6 0 -
G. Grant 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
L. Watkins 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Simmons 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Williams * 39 7-15 0-2 8-8 4 4 2 0 6 22 11 -
J. Boone * 32 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 1 6 8 -
C. Villanueva * 29 6-12 1-2 3-3 12 3 0 2 3 16 18 -
R. Gay * 25 1-5 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
D. Brown * 18 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
R. Anderson 25 2-8 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
E. Nelson 13 3-3 0-0 3-3 3 0 1 0 0 9 10 -
R. Thompson 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Mulchrone 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Ameziane 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter