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UCF Knights 71
@
UConn Huskies 77
2005-03-18

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 11.7% 88.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 15.0% 85.0% - ✓
Margin 3.9% 96.1% +17.6 ✓ (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.3% 61.7% - ✓
Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 35.3% 64.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 35.9% 64.1% - ✓

Actual: UConn Huskies +6 (77-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Bakanowsky * 37 4-8 3-6 4-4 7 2 3 2 1 15 20 -
K. Yelle * 37 9-18 7-14 4-4 6 5 2 1 2 29 23 -
J. Nash * 36 3-11 0-3 4-5 2 5 3 1 5 10 5 -
A. Williams * 26 1-11 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 2 1 4 -1 -
J. Peppers * 21 1-7 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -4 -
J. Rose 25 3-5 0-1 3-4 4 3 2 0 0 9 13 -
M. Johnson 10 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
A. Gill 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Lindbeck 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Gay * 36 7-11 1-1 2-2 4 0 1 3 3 17 11 -
M. Williams * 36 1-7 0-2 7-10 6 5 2 0 2 9 13 -
C. Villanueva * 32 9-13 2-2 2-4 7 2 2 1 0 22 21 -
J. Boone * 29 4-7 0-0 2-4 4 3 2 2 5 10 9 -
D. Brown * 29 4-10 0-1 3-4 8 4 0 0 1 11 12 -
R. Anderson 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Mulchrone 12 3-5 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
E. Nelson 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
R. Thompson 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter