Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.4% | 73.6% | +5.6 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +1 (67-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Sheridan * | 36 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| R. Foye * | 36 | 9-21 | 5-12 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 10 | - |
| A. Ray * | 34 | 2-14 | 1-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -4 | - |
| M. Nardi * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| K. Lowry * | 29 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| J. Fraser | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| M. Austin | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Roche * | 34 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 9 | - |
| R. McCants * | 33 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 9-10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| J. Manuel * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. May * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| E. Arriaran * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Williams | 24 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| M. Scott | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| D. Noel | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter