Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.9% | 87.1% | +10.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +8 (55-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Granger * | 40 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| D. Chiotti * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Player #15643 * | 31 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| M. Walters * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| T. DeVries * | 26 | 1-8 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| R. Wall | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Danridge | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Hart | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Harden | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Player #15644 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Walter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Sumpter * | 37 | 1-10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Foye * | 36 | 4-12 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 11 | - |
| M. Nardi * | 35 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| W. Sheridan * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Player #11154 * | 27 | 1-12 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | - |
| K. Lowry | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Fraser | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| M. Austin | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter