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2005-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Iowa State Cyclones North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 72.7% 27.3% -
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% -
Margin 18.7% 81.3% +8.1 (18.9 off)
Efficiency 1.5% 98.5% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +27 (92-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa State Cyclones

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Samuelson * 38 6-17 1-2 1-3 7 7 4 0 4 14 11 -
J. Homan * 38 8-19 0-0 3-5 20 1 1 2 2 19 22 -
W. Blalock * 37 2-12 1-3 0-0 6 6 1 0 6 5 0 -
X. Harry * 27 3-7 0-1 0-3 5 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
R. Clark * 24 6-9 1-3 0-2 4 1 1 0 1 13 9 -
T. Carr 31 2-11 1-4 3-4 1 4 0 0 2 8 0 -
J. Neal 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Braet 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Bergstrom 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
A. Agnew 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Streff 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Roche * 37 5-12 3-6 2-4 4 8 3 1 0 15 19 -
S. May * 30 8-9 0-0 8-9 17 2 3 1 2 24 36 -
R. McCants * 25 6-13 2-5 3-6 2 4 1 0 3 17 8 -
J. Manuel * 24 1-4 0-1 4-6 2 0 1 0 5 6 0 -
E. Arriaran * 21 0-6 0-2 1-5 4 1 2 0 2 1 0 -
M. Williams 26 8-12 2-4 2-3 15 0 2 1 0 20 26 -
M. Scott 15 2-6 1-5 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 5 2 -
D. Noel 13 0-1 0-1 0-2 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
Q. Thomas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Holley 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
C.J. Hooker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
W. Miller 1 0-1 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
R. Terry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Everett 1 0-0 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
B. Sanders 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter