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2005-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Washington Huskies Spread Result
Elo 45.1% 54.9% -
Bradley-Terry 64.4% 35.6% -
Margin 65.6% 34.4% -3.5 (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -
Efficiency 72.3% 27.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.4% 36.6% -
Log Adjusted 63.6% 36.4% -

Actual: Washington Huskies -14 (79-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Garcia * 38 8-16 5-8 2-2 2 3 1 3 4 23 12 -
L. O'Bannon * 37 6-11 0-4 6-9 6 4 2 0 3 18 16 -
T. Dean * 34 5-10 5-10 4-6 9 2 3 0 0 19 23 -
J. Palacios * 33 6-11 1-4 1-1 4 0 0 0 4 14 3 -
Ellis Myles * 28 2-4 0-0 4-6 13 6 1 1 4 8 21 -
O. George 17 3-3 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 0 1 6 8 -
T. Laudermill 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
P. Johnson 2 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
B. Gianiny 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Wade 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Conroy * 35 4-7 3-6 3-4 1 8 2 0 1 14 17 -
B. Jones * 29 2-6 1-2 3-7 9 1 0 0 0 8 12 -
N. Robinson * 26 1-7 0-5 6-9 3 3 2 0 2 8 7 -
L. Clemons * 19 3-6 2-4 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 10 6 -
M. Jensen * 16 1-6 0-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -4 -
J. Williams 24 8-16 0-0 2-4 6 1 1 0 3 18 7 -
B. Roy 23 7-12 0-1 1-2 5 2 0 0 1 15 9 -
J. Smith 15 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 0 3 0 2 0 0 -
H. Rollins 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 0 -

* = starter