Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.7% | 91.3% | +12.9 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +1 (52-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.