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2005-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Oklahoma Sooners Spread Result
Elo 64.7% 35.3% -
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% -
Margin 30.9% 69.1% +4.4 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.7% 61.3% -
Efficiency 28.8% 71.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.8% 65.2% -
Log Adjusted 34.9% 65.1% -

Actual: Oklahoma Sooners +12 (68-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Steele * 40 6-10 3-3 3-4 2 4 1 0 3 18 12 -
C. Davis * 38 7-12 2-5 2-2 3 2 2 0 1 18 12 -
R. Hendrix * 34 4-6 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 2 1 10 9 -
J. Davidson * 32 1-6 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 2 2 3 4 -
A. Gee * 28 2-6 0-2 1-1 2 0 1 0 4 5 -2 -
E. Brock 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 2 1 0 0 2 5 -
J. Jonus 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Hollinger 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Everett * 38 3-14 0-2 0-0 7 10 2 0 3 6 8 -
K. Bookout * 37 6-10 0-0 6-6 8 1 0 0 2 18 15 -
T. Gray * 31 4-7 0-0 5-5 7 3 0 2 3 13 15 -
N. Carter * 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
C. Walker * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Neal 33 3-7 3-6 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 11 10 -
A. Johnson 26 4-10 2-6 4-4 5 0 3 0 1 14 11 -
L. Longar 11 2-3 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
D. Godbold 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter