Model Predictions
| Model | Loyola Marymount Lions | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.6% | 89.4% | +11.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +16 (84-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Loyola Marymount Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Wardrop | 38 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| J. Ziri | 37 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| M. Knight | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| B. Worthy | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. Ayer | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Haywood | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | - |
| J. Montgomery | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Brooks | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Williams | 38 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 24 | - |
| N. LeSure | 37 | 8-16 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 13 | - |
| M. Abukar | 34 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Spain | 29 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| B. Hudson | 23 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| J. Sharper | 16 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| M. Camara | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| B. Hoerner | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| M. Thomas | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter