Model Predictions
| Model | Vanderbilt Commodores | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.1% | 41.9% | -4.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.4% | 33.6% | -3.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -3 (60-63). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Byars * | 36 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Shan Foster * | 31 | 4-13 | 4-9 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| J. Terrell * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Skuchas * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Alex Gordon * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll | 34 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| M. Moore | 27 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Cage | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Metcalfe | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monty Scott * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Brian Roberts * | 33 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 6 | - |
| C. Alvarez * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Adedeji * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. White * | 14 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Cripe | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Binnie | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| N. Plummer | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| W. Williams | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| M. Bennett | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Little | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter