Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.5% | 58.5% | +1.6 | ✗ (18.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.4% | 35.6% | -3.3 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets -17 (49-66). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Andre McGrew | 40 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| K. Becken | 30 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Justin Billingslea | 28 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Herman Favors | 28 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Malcolm Manier | 27 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Rashad Chase | 23 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Lance Perique | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Deven Dickerson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Leonard Mendez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Claborn | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| A. Oliver | 30 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Miguel Morton | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Lamarquis Blake | 25 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Andrew Hayles | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Cedric Mitchell | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| H. Warren | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Dustin Richmond | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Richard Lott Jr. | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Joel Bosh | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter