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2005-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 83.2% 16.8% -
Bradley-Terry 55.3% 44.7% -
Margin 57.5% 42.5% -1.7 (21.7 off)
Pythagorean 8.6% 91.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers +20 (90-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lutz * 38 4-11 3-6 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 13 5 -
B. Dillon * 28 0-2 0-1 0-1 2 2 1 0 4 0 -1 -
M. Green * 24 3-7 1-4 2-2 0 2 1 1 2 9 4 -
S. Heber * 22 5-11 1-2 2-2 6 0 2 0 2 13 8 -
N. Minnoy * 22 2-4 0-0 1-2 6 3 1 0 4 5 7 -
K. Spates 24 4-7 2-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 10 4 -
M. White 19 3-9 0-0 7-9 7 0 1 1 5 13 8 -
C. Hartley 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 0 5 -
G. Ware 9 0-1 0-0 0-4 2 0 0 1 3 0 -1 -
M. Carroll 4 2-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
B. Riddell 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Douglas-Roberts * 32 6-11 0-1 4-4 2 3 4 1 2 16 13 -
J. Dorsey * 30 6-10 0-0 4-5 13 3 1 3 3 16 23 -
A. Anderson * 27 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 3 4 0 2 5 9 -
D. Washington Jr. * 18 4-9 0-2 1-1 1 2 0 0 2 9 1 -
W. Williams * 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 2 1 -
R. Dozier 21 4-11 1-2 2-3 4 0 2 1 3 11 4 -
A. Allen 20 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 4 0 1 3 5 8 -
S. Williams 19 6-9 3-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 15 11 -
R. Carney 18 3-11 1-3 1-2 4 0 0 1 2 8 0 -
C. Wade 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
C. McGrady 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Long 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Sandridge 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter