Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.6% | 8.4% | -13.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs -9 (59-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.