Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.6% | 8.4% | -13.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs -9 (59-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Robert Merritt | 26 | 12-13 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 23 | - |
| J. Merritt | 25 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| T. Peterson | 24 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| J. Smith | 23 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Nurkic | 23 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| R. Gulina | 22 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| C. West | 22 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| J. Black | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. LoPiano | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Rawlings | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter