Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | UNLV Lady Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Lady Rebels +18 (69-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.