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2005-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Loyola Marymount Lions UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 25.3% 74.7% -
Bradley-Terry 21.0% 79.0% -
Margin 11.3% 88.7% +11.3 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 34.6% 65.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.1% 67.9% -
Log Adjusted 31.9% 68.1% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +19 (79-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Loyola Marymount Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Worthy 37 4-9 1-2 5-6 3 1 1 0 4 14 6 -
W. Wardrop 36 4-13 3-7 1-1 2 7 0 0 4 12 4 -
M. Knight 27 5-7 0-0 1-5 6 1 0 0 2 11 9 -
J. Ziri 23 2-5 0-1 0-1 7 1 0 0 2 4 5 -
J. Montgomery 19 3-9 2-6 1-2 2 2 0 0 2 9 2 -
J. Haywood 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
C. Ayer 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
K. Brooks 12 0-1 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
V. Boccardo 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
M. Deric 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
C. Kanne 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Villepigue 30 6-8 0-0 1-2 11 4 1 0 1 13 20 -
J. Petrimoulx 28 6-8 1-2 1-2 1 6 2 0 0 14 15 -
M. Umeh 27 6-12 5-8 3-4 1 5 1 0 2 20 13 -
C. Terry 25 5-10 1-3 0-1 4 3 1 0 4 11 5 -
L. Amundson 23 6-7 0-0 2-7 10 0 1 0 1 14 17 -
W. Adams 17 2-4 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
W. White 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 0 -
R. Morgan 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 3 -
J. Darger 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
G. Essengue 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
J. Johnson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Berkey 1 1-3 0-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter