Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.6% | 56.4% | +1.4 | ✗ (34.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -33 (51-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gray | 31 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. Webb | 29 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| A. Esparza | 27 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Brown | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 22 | - |
| M. White | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 14 | - |
| S. Johnson | 18 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| C. Maraker | 17 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | - |
| W. Raffety | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Ford | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| B. Pemberton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Vezia | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| K. Hurley | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Brucculeri | 38 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| R. Marentez | 32 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| V. Oliver | 31 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| P. Rasmussen | 29 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| T. Juillerat | 25 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| J. Lopez-Low | 23 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| M. Boone | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Carter | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| L. Ford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter