Model Predictions
| Model | San Francisco Dons | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.9% | 74.1% | +5.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +5 (65-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Cavic | 36 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Wiggins Jr. | 31 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 25 | - |
| A. Surratt | 30 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| V. Polakovic | 28 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| D. Ingerson | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Shiller | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Gumbs | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Byrd | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Pierce | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Morgan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Bell | 38 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 16 | - |
| J. Coleman | 34 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. O'Neil | 30 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 4 | - |
| R. Cesar | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Q. Hosley | 26 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| H. Hernandez | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Morris | 21 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| A. Riding | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter