Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.9% | 82.1% | +8.4 | ✗ (42.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -34 (53-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.