Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | +3.6 | ✗ (37.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -34 (53-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Bekono | 36 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| R. Porter | 31 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| K. Schille | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| H. Power | 19 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| S. Williams | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Bates | 16 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Knox | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Misko | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| L. Cunningham | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Soto | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Cobbs | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter