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2005-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Northern Illinois Huskies San José State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 88.5% 11.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 77.5% 22.5% - ✓
Margin 59.9% 40.1% -2.2 ✓ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 65.1% 34.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 74.6% 25.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 74.4% 25.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 55.7% 44.3% - ✓

Actual: San José State Spartans -2 (78-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Illinois Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. McKinney 33 5-5 0-0 2-3 5 3 0 0 2 12 13 -
T. Peterson 31 2-7 2-7 1-2 5 2 0 1 3 7 5 -
A. Maestranzi 26 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 3 2 -
J. Hughes 23 6-10 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 5 1 14 12 -
B. Rand 22 0-3 0-2 2-4 4 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
C. Sims 19 6-9 1-2 5-6 7 3 1 0 6 18 14 -
Z. Pancratz 17 4-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 1 3 8 7 -
C. Reichel 12 1-4 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 5 2 -
R. Paradise 9 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
B. McKenzie 6 3-3 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
Q. Lipkins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Elam 34 6-13 3-7 7-8 2 1 0 0 1 22 11 -
C. Spencer 29 6-12 2-3 0-1 3 3 1 0 0 14 9 -
Demetrius 'D.J.' Brown 26 5-13 0-0 5-5 4 1 1 0 2 15 6 -
T. Gardner 25 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 2 4 -
J. Richardson 22 3-9 1-5 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 9 4 -
M. Misko 21 3-7 0-0 5-5 5 0 1 1 1 11 10 -
M. Barbary 18 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 4 4 -
K. Fleming 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Cozad 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
D. Thomas 5 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
K. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter